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11/7/2024
WT Staff
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November 7, 2024 813 am CST
Rafael continues to batter Cuba with flooding, Air Force and NOAA Hurricane Hunters investigating
Hurricane Rafael Intermediate Advisory Number 15A issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 AM EST Thu Nov 07 2024
AIR FORCE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING
RAFAEL...
At 700 AM EST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Rafael was located
near latitude 24.3 North, longitude 84.9 West, 195 miles west of Key West. Rafael is moving
toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the west at
a slower forward speed is expected later today, with this general
motion continuing through Saturday. On the forecast track, Rafael is
expected to move over the southern Gulf of Mexico for the next few
days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some weakening is anticipated during the next few days.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115
miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is
970 mb (28.64 inches).
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
- Interests in the southern and southwestern Gulf of Mexico should
monitor the progress of Rafael.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
RAINFALL: Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are expected
today, leading to storm total accumulations of 12 inches across
portions of western Cuba. This may lead to areas of flash flooding
and mudslides, especially along the higher terrain.
Key messages for Hurricane Rafael can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion, here.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Hurricane Rafael, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, here.
SURF: Swells generated by Rafael are expected to spread across most
of the Gulf of Mexico from east to west during the next several
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM EST.
Forecaster Reinhart
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